THE FUTURE OF PEERING

WHITE PAPER EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AN INDUSTRY IN FLUX INVESTING IN AUTOMATION Finding themselves in a maelstrom of plummeting IP transit costs, No Internet Exchange can afford to ignore the potential of growing competition, skyrocketing traffic and rapidly evolving automation to reduce overheads, drive down prices and empower technologies, Internet Exchanges are innovating at a relentless members with new capabilities. From faster troubleshooting pace. It’s an exciting time, with huge experimentation. to self-serve portals, new innovations like Software Defined ACCELERATING GLOBAL EXPANSION Networking can increase flexibility and ease-of-use for peering communities. Ironically, exchanges that face severe price pressures Traditionally, Internet Exchanges only operate in their country, from their members may be less able to exploit new these new or city, of origin. However, increasing national and international developments. expansion means local incumbents must now wrestle with competition from new entrants to their markets. While some see SPECIALISATION AHEAD this growth as essential to stay relevant, others believe it causes a As peering and transit prices converge towards zero, Internet needless increase in costs and complexity. Exchanges will need to differentiate themselves in other ways. In the SERVING NEW MEMBERS Under pressure to harness additional revenue streams, many future, we expect to see exchanges specialise in different markets, members, or services to remain distinct. Internet Exchanges are experimenting with complimentary services A FUTURE OF COLLABORATION in areas like security and cloud connectivity, while also seeking to Looking ahead, Internet Exchanges may forge new partnerships expand their member numbers by targeting the enterprise market. to ensure they remain competitive. From reselling white-labelled CUSTOMERS VS. COMPETITION Will Internet Exchanges roll out new services that put them in competition with their own members? Opinions vary: some say that additional competition will mean little to peering communities, whilst others believe that networks and service providers will no longer fund platforms that compete with them. 01 / THE FUTURE OF PEERING services from commercial competitors, to entering into a federated business model with other exchanges, collaboration offers solutions to many of the challenges facing the public peering market today. WHITE PAPER INTRODUCTION: AN (EX)CHANGING WORLD In little more than two decades since they first appeared, Internet Exchanges (IXs) have changed beyond all recognition. From their origins inside academia in the early 1990s to today’s communityled status quo, IXs have transformed not only themselves but the entire Internet, playing a vital role in the birth of our modern digital world. Early academic milestones, like the IBR-LANi at the Dutch Centrum Wiskunde & Informatica (CWI), are a far cry from the ubiquitous global connectivity members can now expect from the 778 internet exchange points (IXPs)ii worldwide. Yet, because they emerged Many IXs are experimenting with new strategies and seeking ways to adapt. It’s an exciting time, but there’s no clear agreement on the right path to take and how (or even if) IXs should evolve from an environment of research and education, European IXs have a long heritage of focusing on cooperation, rather than competition. This continues today, with public IXs still offering low cost, not-forprofit connectivity that’s fundamentally supported by members, for members. By allowing members to sidestep the effort and expense of agreeing a myriad of private network connections amongst themselves, IXs have been instrumental in driving down peering costs, increasing network resilience and improving the end-user experience. Without IXs, IP traffic would be forced to travel via slower, more expensive and congested routes to its ultimate destination via upstream transit networks – undermining the seamless access to online content and services companies and consumers now demand. TURBULENT TIMES While public peering is a young industry, it’s moving fast and reinvention is already on the horizon. Today, several factors are converging that leave traditional, member-led IXs in the midst of a perfect storm. Pricing is perhaps the most obvious wave on the horizon. The cost of IP transit continues to plummet, falling by around 80% since 2010 alone.iii That makes transit an increasingly appealing option for many organisations, promising greater control over the end-user experience and clear SLAs, with a relatively small uplift in cost compared to public peering. Meanwhile, skyrocketing IP traffic also means choppy waters ahead for IXs. Global networks will need to support more than 1000 exabytes this year, but even that’s set to triple by 2020.iv Peering platforms must be upgraded and overhauled to keep pace with today’s data deluge, a process that demands significant infrastructure investment from all market participants, whether IXs or transit networks. Amidst all this, IXs also need to keep pace with commercial competitors and constantly evolving technologies. New innovations may redefine what members expect from peering services and cause a tidal wave of market disruption. In the face of this tough competition and accelerating change, many IXs are experimenting with new strategies and seeking ways to adapt. It’s an exciting time, but there’s no clear agreement on the right path to take and how (or even if) IXs should evolve. We’ve spoken to organisations from different facets of this debate – networks, content providers, commercial peering companies and IXs themselves - to examine the forces driving change and how the peering market is reacting. Read on as we peer into what the future holds. 02 / THE FUTURE OF PEERING
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